Elections Matter. But Should They Change Your Investment Plan?
US elections often bring questions about what a change in Washington could mean for markets. A new president, a shift in control of Congress, or divided government can all influence expectations about taxes, regulation, spending, and other policies. Yet Dimensional’s review of 100 years of market history provides useful perspective: US equities have grown over the long term through many different combinations of presidential administrations and congressional control.
Even knowing an election outcome in advance wouldn’t tell us exactly how markets will respond. Election expectations are just one of countless inputs reflected in market prices, alongside economic growth, interest rates, corporate earnings, innovation, and global events. Investors would need to predict not only who wins, but what policies follow, their economic effects, and whether those effects differ from what markets already expect.
That’s why we believe portfolios should be built for many possible political and economic outcomes, rather than depending on one forecast being right. Broad diversification, a long-term allocation, and the discipline to follow a well-designed plan can help investors navigate uncertainty without needing to predict which party—or combination of parties—will produce the best market environment.
This material is for informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as individualized investment, tax, or legal advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.
Purposeful Wealth Advisors is part of Keating Financial Advisory Services (KFAS). Investment advisory services are offered exclusively through KFAS and are provided pursuant to a written agreement.